Updated
Updated · Wealth Management · Jul 20
Advisors Cut Economy Outlook 12% to 106 as 43% See U.S. Declining in 1 Year
Updated
Updated · Wealth Management · Jul 20

Advisors Cut Economy Outlook 12% to 106 as 43% See U.S. Declining in 1 Year

3 articles · Updated · Wealth Management · Jul 20

Summary

  • June survey data showed advisors' economy sentiment falling 12% to 106 and stock-market sentiment dropping nearly 8% to 121, retreating from May's near-record optimism but staying above the neutral 100 mark.
  • 43% of advisors now expect the U.S. economy to worsen over the next year, versus 46% who still see improvement, the bleakest long-term economic reading since the index began two years ago.
  • Inflation worries and on-again, off-again international diplomacy drove the pullback, even as 44% still rate current economic conditions positively and 27% negatively.
  • Stock-market views remained stronger than economic views: 66% called current conditions positive, while 50% expect the market to improve in a year and 34% expect a decline.
  • Respondents described a K-shaped economy in which rising asset prices support investors and higher-income households while inflation, housing and daily costs strain consumers and small businesses.

Insights

Is the US economy facing a hidden crisis despite a rising stock market?
Can new tax cuts and AI adoption shield the economy from persistent inflation and global instability?
How will the Middle East conflict permanently reshape global supply chains and the cost of everyday goods?