Updated
Updated · yardeniquicktakes.com · Jul 18
Analysts Lift Q2 S&P 500 EPS Growth View to 22.9% as SOXX Slides 20.3%
Updated
Updated · yardeniquicktakes.com · Jul 18

Analysts Lift Q2 S&P 500 EPS Growth View to 22.9% as SOXX Slides 20.3%

1 articles · Updated · yardeniquicktakes.com · Jul 18

Summary

  • 22.9% is the new consensus for S&P 500 Q2 EPS growth on an apples-to-oranges basis, up 1.3 points from a week earlier, reinforcing expectations for a strong earnings season.
  • 7,500 remains the market’s sticking point: the S&P 500 first reached that level on May 14 and has since moved sideways near its 50-day average, with strategists still targeting 8,250 by year-end.
  • 0.6% is the S&P 500’s decline since May 14, but leadership has rotated sharply away from the Magnificent 7, which are down 5.7%, toward the broader 'Impressive 493' and value stocks.
  • 18.7% gains in S&P 600 Health Care and 14.4% in S&P 600 Consumer Discretionary show defensive, cheaper segments leading, while Information Technology looks tired and semiconductor momentum has faded.
  • 20.3% is the drop in the SOXX semiconductor ETF since its June 22 record, underscoring AI fatigue and the risk that lofty growth expectations could make merely in-line results disappoint.

Insights

As tech giants falter from massive AI spending, are value stocks the market's new, safer bet for growth?
With earnings soaring amid war and inflation, is the stock market ignoring a looming economic reality?
Beyond oil prices, how is the Iran conflict reshaping global supply chains and corporate survival?