Updated
Updated · yardeniquicktakes.com · Jul 19
S&P 500 Forward Profit Margin Hits Record 16.1% as 2027 Earnings Estimates Climb Above $400
Updated
Updated · yardeniquicktakes.com · Jul 19

S&P 500 Forward Profit Margin Hits Record 16.1% as 2027 Earnings Estimates Climb Above $400

1 articles · Updated · yardeniquicktakes.com · Jul 19

Summary

  • Forward profit margin for S&P 500 companies rose to a record 16.1% last week, even as the index stayed pinned near 7,500 after first reaching that level on May 14.
  • Forward earnings and forward revenue per share also set all-time highs, with analysts' 2027 EPS estimate still rising above $400 while the 2026 estimate has recently flattened.
  • Q2 earnings expectations remain strong: consensus EPS growth reached 22.9% year over year, or 26.0% on a pro forma basis, helped heavily by energy and boosted last week by big bank beats.
  • 89.4% of S&P 500 companies now show positive three-month forward earnings growth, a level tied to past cyclical peaks and seen as a signal for further rotation within a broadening bull market.
  • That rotation has already favored cheaper, defensive shares since May 14, while the Magnificent-7 fell 5.7% and the SOXX semiconductor ETF dropped 20.3% from its June 22 record high.

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