US Recession Risk Dashboard Refreshes Monthly With ISM PMI, Tracking Current Downturn Odds
Updated
Updated · Econbrowser · Jul 6
US Recession Risk Dashboard Refreshes Monthly With ISM PMI, Tracking Current Downturn Odds
3 articles · Updated · Econbrowser · Jul 6
Summary
Francesco Furno and Domenico Giannone’s US recession-risk dashboard offers a continuously updated read on whether the economy is already in recession, rather than forecasting the next 12 months.
The tool refreshes automatically on the first business day of each month when the ISM PMI is released, giving users a near-real-time pulse tied to a closely watched manufacturing indicator.
Recessionrisk.com was accessed on July 6, 2026, underscoring the dashboard’s role as a live monitoring tool for current US economic conditions.