Polymarket Bettors Stake $13 Million on Putin Exiting by 2026 as Ukraine Pressure Mounts
Updated
Updated · Benzinga · Jul 2
Polymarket Bettors Stake $13 Million on Putin Exiting by 2026 as Ukraine Pressure Mounts
3 articles · Updated · Benzinga · Jul 2
Summary
$13 million has been traded on a Polymarket bet over whether Vladimir Putin will leave power by 2026, making it one of the platform's busiest markets.
Ukraine's intensified strikes on Russian energy infrastructure have added to security pressure on the Kremlin, and Putin recently acknowledged Russia was going through a difficult period and facing fuel shortages.
Putin still has strong formal backing: 2020 constitutional changes reset his term limits, allowing him to remain in office until 2036, and he said last month it was too early to discuss staying that long.
The betting contrast is stark — traders are actively pricing a possible Putin exit, but give Ukraine only 12% odds of retaking Crimea, the peninsula Russia annexed in 2014.