Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 29
Philippines Cuts 2026 Growth View to 3.5%-4.5%, Sees Weaker Peso Beyond 2028
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 29

Philippines Cuts 2026 Growth View to 3.5%-4.5%, Sees Weaker Peso Beyond 2028

2 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 29

Summary

  • The government lowered its economic growth target for 2026 to 3.5%-4.5%, while projecting annual expansion of 5%-6% from 2027 through 2030.
  • A Development Budget Coordination Committee memorandum cited Middle East tensions and an intense El Niño weather event as the main headwinds behind the downgrade.
  • The same outlook also points to a weaker peso beyond 2028, extending currency pressure past the end of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.'s term.
  • The revisions signal a more cautious medium-term view for the Southeast Asian economy as external shocks and climate risks weigh on planning.

Insights

Can the Philippines fund its ₱9 trillion infrastructure plan while bracing for a P286.8 billion 'Super El Niño' economic hit?
With a 'Super El Niño' threatening a 50% rice price spike, can the nation's food security plans prevent a crisis?