Updated
Updated · World Gold Council · Jun 18
Indian Gold ETFs Post Record INR7.25 Billion May Outflows as Imports Drop 39% After Duty Hike
Updated
Updated · World Gold Council · Jun 18

Indian Gold ETFs Post Record INR7.25 Billion May Outflows as Imports Drop 39% After Duty Hike

3 articles · Updated · World Gold Council · Jun 18

Summary

  • INR7.25 billion in net outflows hit Indian gold ETFs in May, the first monthly withdrawal since April 2025, while gross redemptions surged to a record INR33.3 billion and investor folios fell by 134,343.
  • A 9% import-duty increase in mid-May, a 5.3% rupee depreciation and a roughly 6% jump in domestic gold prices triggered profit-taking, even as seasonal weakness and the prime minister's appeal curbed physical buying.
  • INR16.31 billion of net inflows returned to gold ETFs between June 1 and 11, suggesting the May selling was short-lived despite temporary subscription caps imposed by some fund houses.
  • US$3.4 billion of gold imports entered India in May, down 39% from April and equal to an estimated 25-30 tonnes, as the higher duty cooled demand though imports still rose 34% year on year.
  • US$25 an ounce was the domestic discount by June 15, down from nearly US$150 after the duty hike, while market participants still expect jewelry demand to stay soft through July before improving from August.

Insights

With import duties pushing prices higher, is India's deep-rooted cultural demand for gold finally at a breaking point?
Can India's gold import duties truly fix its trade deficit, or will they just fuel a massive smuggling market?