Updated
Updated · Sportico · Jul 22
CME CEO Slams Sports Prediction Bets as 99% of Exchange Volume Comes From Sports
Updated
Updated · Sportico · Jul 22

CME CEO Slams Sports Prediction Bets as 99% of Exchange Volume Comes From Sports

1 articles · Updated · Sportico · Jul 22

Summary

  • Terry Duffy said sports prediction contracts look like gambling and could end up at the Supreme Court, a sharp public break from CME’s own role in listing and processing such wagers.
  • Less than 24 hours earlier, the CFTC had certified three CME sports wager types—tennis, golf and college football—while more than 99% of Tuesday’s notional volume on CME’s prediction market exchange came from sports.
  • Duffy also attacked affiliated market makers, saying companies that trade on exchanges in which they have a financial interest create credibility and conflict concerns; FanDuel uses that model and has called market making a revenue opportunity.
  • CME tried to narrow the dispute, saying Duffy was referring to individual-performance bets, combos and parlays that CME does not offer, even though CME and FanDuel launched a joint venture in which CME paid $10.2 million for a 51% stake.
  • The tension extends beyond rhetoric: FanDuel Predicts has begun routing bets through Nadex as well as CME, and FanDuel has applied to broker prediction-market trades without CME involvement.

Insights

With CME's CEO calling sports betting 'gambling,' is its own FanDuel venture a ticking regulatory time bomb?
If automated bots consistently win, are prediction markets a fair financial tool or a new form of rigged gambling?