Updated
Updated · Yahoo Sports · Jul 16
Spain Opens at -175 Over Argentina +125 in 2026 World Cup Final
Updated
Updated · Yahoo Sports · Jul 16

Spain Opens at -175 Over Argentina +125 in 2026 World Cup Final

3 articles · Updated · Yahoo Sports · Jul 16

Summary

  • BetMGM opened Spain as a -175 favorite to beat Argentina, which enters Sunday’s 2026 World Cup final as a +125 underdog despite reaching the title match as defending champion.
  • Kalshi pricing also leans Spain, giving it a 58% chance to win versus Argentina’s 42% after Spain’s 2-0 semifinal win over France and Argentina’s 2-1 comeback over England.
  • Spain secured its place first on Tuesday behind a Mikel Oyarzabal penalty and a Pedro Porro goal, while Argentina overturned a 1-0 deficit with two goals in less than 10 minutes.
  • The final is set for 3 p.m. ET on Sunday at New York/New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford, where Lionel Messi’s side will again try to upset a favored opponent.

Insights

Can Messi’s Argentina defy the odds and a FIFA probe to secure a historic victory in his final game?
With record ticket prices and $150 train fares, has the World Cup final become an event exclusively for the wealthy?
As FIFA projects billions in revenue, why do World Cup host cities face record costs and potential economic losses?