Updated
Updated · WFTV Orlando · Jul 15
NHC Monitors Florida Front With 20% Tropical Development Chance Over 7 Days
Updated
Updated · WFTV Orlando · Jul 15

NHC Monitors Florida Front With 20% Tropical Development Chance Over 7 Days

3 articles · Updated · WFTV Orlando · Jul 15

Summary

  • A front near Florida now carries a 20% chance of becoming a tropical system over the next seven days, with the National Hurricane Center watching for possible development early next week.
  • European model guidance suggests a low-pressure area could form near the state, but forecasters say uncertainty remains high and there is no immediate threat indication.
  • Parts of the Southeast, including North Florida, are still expected to see heavier rain early next week as moisture from the pattern brings more showers and thunderstorms.
  • If the system organizes, it would become Bertha, nearly a month after Arthur became the Atlantic season's first named storm.

Insights

As El Niño quiets the Atlantic, are super-heated coastal waters spawning a new breed of dangerous 'homegrown' hurricanes?
Are seasonal hurricane forecasts becoming obsolete as local ocean heat waves create unpredictable threats just offshore?