Updated
Updated · LSEG · Jul 14
Q2 Bond Yields Slip as Yen Falls to 1986 Lows and UST Real Yields Hit Highs
Updated
Updated · LSEG · Jul 14

Q2 Bond Yields Slip as Yen Falls to 1986 Lows and UST Real Yields Hit Highs

3 articles · Updated · LSEG · Jul 14

Summary

  • Government bond yields fell modestly in Q2 as lower oil prices supported bonds, though ECB and BoJ rate hikes and the Fed’s cautious stance limited the rally.
  • US Treasuries sat at or near valuation extremes, with real yields near multi-year highs as the report linked a US capex boom to stronger growth and a possible break from the 2010s savings-glut regime.
  • The yen weakened to its lowest level against the dollar since 1986, driven by broad-based dollar strength highlighted in the report’s FX section.
  • Canada’s market showed more evidence of yield decoupling from the US, while correlations between Canadian investment-grade and US IG credit declined.
  • Across Q2 performance, gilts led government bonds, linkers lagged, and credit outperformed, underscoring a market still driven by valuation even as investors assess a potential regime change.

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