Updated
Updated · ESPN · Jul 13
Deschamps Predicts Spectacular Spain-France Semifinal as Spain Carry 16.1% Pre-Tournament Title Odds
Updated
Updated · ESPN · Jul 13

Deschamps Predicts Spectacular Spain-France Semifinal as Spain Carry 16.1% Pre-Tournament Title Odds

3 articles · Updated · ESPN · Jul 13

Summary

  • Didier Deschamps said Tuesday's World Cup semifinal with Spain should be a "spectacular game," praising both teams' attacking quality while again brushing aside talk that France are favorites.
  • Spain entered the tournament with the strongest title projections—16.1% from Opta and +450 at DraftKings, versus France at 13.0% and +475—and Deschamps said Spain have largely justified that billing.
  • The numbers back the matchup's elite status: France own the best goal-differential rate at +2.3 per match and best xG differential at +1.7, while Spain have conceded just one goal in six games.
  • Luis de la Fuente also rejected the favorites label, saying it adds no value before a meeting he called worthy of a final.
  • Tuesday's 3 p.m. ET winner in Arlington advances to Sunday's final in New Jersey against either England or Argentina.

Insights

Will statistics or recent history decide the winner between top-ranked France and a dominant Spanish team?
Is Deschamps playing mind games by calling Spain favorites, despite France's perfect World Cup run?
Can a fit Kylian Mbappe finally lead France to victory over their recent conquerors, Spain?