Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Jul 12
England Opens at -120 Over Argentina in World Cup Semifinal as Messi Chases 9th Goal Run
Updated
Updated · The New York Times · Jul 12

England Opens at -120 Over Argentina in World Cup Semifinal as Messi Chases 9th Goal Run

3 articles · Updated · The New York Times · Jul 12

Summary

  • BetMGM and DraftKings opened England at -120 to reach the World Cup final, with Argentina at -105 — effectively a 52-48 edge ahead of Wednesday’s semifinal in Atlanta.
  • That narrow pricing reflects two teams that have repeatedly survived knockout drama: England needed extra time against Norway after earlier scares, while Argentina also went beyond 90 minutes against Cape Verde and Switzerland.
  • Lionel Messi has driven Argentina’s attack with 8 goals and 2 assists, even after his 9-match World Cup scoring streak ended against Switzerland; England’s Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham have 6 goals each.
  • Sportsbooks still expect a cagey game, favoring under 2.5 goals even though both sides scored in all 6 of their knockout matches and both-teams-to-score odds are nearly even.
  • The matchup also carries historic weight beyond form, reviving one of football’s fiercest rivalries nearly 40 years after Maradona’s two iconic goals against England.

Insights

Amidst renewed political tension, can England's star scorers finally break Argentina's perfect World Cup semifinal record?
Will this clash be decided by Messi's genius and Argentina's control, or by England's direct attack and composure under pressure?