Updated
Updated · continuumeconomics.com · Jun 22
Canada June Jobs Seen Rising 25,000 as Unemployment Edges Down to 6.5%
Updated
Updated · continuumeconomics.com · Jun 22

Canada June Jobs Seen Rising 25,000 as Unemployment Edges Down to 6.5%

2 articles · Updated · continuumeconomics.com · Jun 22

Summary

  • 25,000 jobs are expected to be added in June, with Canada’s unemployment rate forecast to dip to 6.5% from 6.6% when the report is released on July 10.
  • 50,000 part-time gains and a 25,000 drop in full-time work are expected to drive the mix, reversing May’s 154,000 full-time surge and 66,200 decline in part-time jobs.
  • 30,000 private-sector hiring is seen offsetting a 5,000 public-sector pullback, while a 15,000 rise in the labor force would still lag employment growth.
  • World Cup activity in Toronto and Vancouver is expected to help sustain hiring after May’s rebound, which included gains of 41,800 in Ontario and 25,200 in British Columbia.
  • Wage growth for permanent employees is forecast to rebound to 3.6% from 3.2%, though analysts still view May’s strong headline job gain as partly corrective after earlier weakness.

Insights

Will the World Cup's gig-work boom help Canadians or just mask underlying labor market weakness?
Beyond the temporary jobs, what is the World Cup's true, lasting economic impact on Canada?