Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jun 18
Arete Sees SpaceX at $401 by 2027 as Starship, Starlink Could Lift Value Above $5.2 Trillion
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jun 18

Arete Sees SpaceX at $401 by 2027 as Starship, Starlink Could Lift Value Above $5.2 Trillion

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jun 18

Summary

  • Arete Research set a $401 end-2027 target for SpaceX, implying the stock could more than double from Wednesday’s roughly $192 close despite a 6% drop in Thursday trading.
  • The firm tied that upside to Starship reusability, higher launch volume, space-based data centers and Starlink expansion, forecasting 63% compound revenue growth through 2030 from Starlink and AI infrastructure.
  • A $401 share price would put SpaceX’s market capitalization above $5.2 trillion, topping Nvidia’s roughly $4.99 trillion fully diluted value, based on about 13 billion shares outstanding.
  • Other Wall Street targets are lower—Oppenheimer set $250 over 12 to 18 months and Stephens $296—while analysts warn the thesis depends on Starship working and SpaceX proving its AI ambitions.
  • The bullish call stands out because SpaceX was still unprofitable last year, losing about $5 billion in 2025 on more than $18.5 billion in revenue, according to Reuters citing The Information.

Insights

With its AI division losing billions, can SpaceX's valuation rocket past tech giants, or is it simply 'AI hype'?
As thousands of satellites burn up, is SpaceX's Starlink creating an unregulated environmental crisis in our atmosphere?