DraftKings Makes Makhachev -290 Favorite Over Garry for UFC 330

Q: Will the champion's power overcome the UFC's all-time female submission leader in the co-main event?

Dern should be a slight favorite to get through it, but Robertson is a real upset threat. The matchup is less about “power” than about who controls the grappling. Mackenzie Dern is the reigning strawweight champion, on a three-fight win streak, and coming off a decision win over Virna Jandiroba to claim the belt. She is also one of the division’s most accomplished jiu-jitsu fighters, which matters greatly against a challenger whose biggest weapon is submissions. Robertson, however, is not a routine underdog. She enters on a five-fight winning streak and is widely identified as the UFC women’s all-time leader in submission wins, making her one of the most dangerous finishers in the division. That is why, despite being listed at +124, she is viewed as a live threat in a fight that could quickly turn on one scramble. The betting line reflects that tension. Dern at -148 is favored, but only modestly, suggesting confidence in the champion’s broader skill set and title-level experience rather than any expectation of dominance. Robertson’s path is clear: force grappling exchanges, create chaos, and hunt the neck or an arm. On balance, Dern’s championship form, elite ground pedigree, and slightly more complete game make her the safer pick. But against a record-setting submission specialist like Robertson, the margin for error is extremely small.

Q: Can Islam Makhachev make history by breaking the UFC's all-time win streak record?

Yes. Islam Makhachev can make history at UFC 330 by setting a new UFC record for consecutive wins. Makhachev enters his Aug. 15 welterweight title defense against Ian Garry on a 16-fight UFC winning streak, tied with Anderson Silva for the longest in company history. If he beats Garry in Philadelphia, he would move to 17 straight UFC victories and take sole possession of the record. The opportunity is real, and the matchup favors him on paper. Makhachev is coming off a dominant win over Jack Della Maddalena to capture the welterweight belt and become a two-division champion. He is also widely regarded as the sport’s pound-for-pound leader. Sportsbooks have installed him as a clear favorite at around -290, reflecting expectations that he is more likely than not to break the mark. That said, the record is not guaranteed. Garry is the No. 1 contender, has won back-to-back fights over Carlos Prates and former champion Belal Muhammad, and enters with a 17-1 record. While he is the underdog, he has momentum and enough credibility to make the challenge meaningful. So the answer is straightforward: Makhachev is one win away from history. If he defeats Garry at UFC 330, he will become the first fighter in UFC history to win 17 straight fights.

Q: With UFC 330 on Paramount+, is the era of expensive pay-per-view fights finally over?

For U.S. fans, yes: UFC 330 on Paramount+ is strong evidence that the expensive UFC pay-per-view era is effectively over. The key change is structural, not event-specific. Under UFC’s new media-rights deal with Paramount, numbered cards like UFC 330 and Fight Nights now stream in the U.S. and Latin America as part of a standard Paramount+ subscription, with no separate PPV charge. That is a major break from the old model, where top UFC events typically required an added fee on top of a streaming package. That means a card headlined by Islam Makhachev’s welterweight title defense against Ian Garry, plus Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson in the co-main event, is available without the traditional premium purchase. Reports tied to the new deal say this applies broadly to UFC’s numbered events, not just UFC 330. The business logic is clear: Paramount is using UFC as a subscription driver, betting that lower access costs will expand the audience and increase recurring subscribers. For consumers, the immediate effect is straightforward—more top-tier fights for a flat monthly or annual price. The caveat is geography. The end of PPV appears real for U.S. viewers, and in some other covered markets, but not necessarily worldwide. Some international territories may still use PPV or different regional distribution models. So the expensive PPV model is not dead everywhere, but for American UFC viewers, it has largely been replaced by subscription streaming.

3 articles · Updated · Yahoo Sports · Jun 17

DraftKings opened UFC 330 lines with welterweight champion Islam Makhachev at -279, quickly moving to -290, while No. 1 contender Ian Garry opened as a +235 underdog.
Aug. 15 in Philadelphia will mark Makhachev’s first welterweight title defense after he beat Jack Della Maddalena to become a two-division UFC champion.
Makhachev brings a 28-1 record and a 16-fight UFC winning streak—tied with Anderson Silva for the promotion’s longest—into the main event against Garry, who is 17-1.
The co-main event also opened with the champion favored: strawweight titleholder Mackenzie Dern is -148 against Gillian Robertson at +124 in her first defense.
Robertson enters on a five-fight winning streak and owns the most submission wins in UFC women’s history, giving the card a second title fight with a live underdog.