Updated
Updated · FRANCE 24 English · Jun 14
Bank Indonesia Lifts Rates 75 Basis Points as Rupiah Stays 7% Weaker Since February
Updated
Updated · FRANCE 24 English · Jun 14

Bank Indonesia Lifts Rates 75 Basis Points as Rupiah Stays 7% Weaker Since February

3 articles · Updated · FRANCE 24 English · Jun 14

Summary

  • Back-to-back 75-basis-point hikes gave Indonesia’s battered markets a brief lift this week, helping the rupiah rebound after sliding past 18,100 per dollar and supporting stocks.
  • Investor unease persists because high oil prices are colliding with Prabowo’s costly fuel subsidies, school meal spending, tighter export controls and moves seen as threatening central bank independence.
  • BMI said the rupiah remains about 7% weaker than at the start of the February war and warned further depreciation could force Bank Indonesia to raise rates again.
  • Higher borrowing costs risk slowing growth and straining public finances as the government pursues 8% growth by 2029, while the World Bank sees only up to 5.0% growth under heavy spending pressures.
  • MSCI is still reviewing Indonesia’s market-risk status over stock-ownership transparency, and any downgrade could accelerate capital flight unless Jakarta rebuilds investor trust with more market-friendly policies.

Insights

Can Indonesia's populist agenda deliver prosperity, or will it trigger a downgrade to 'frontier' market status?
Is Indonesia's 'resource nationalism' a path to wealth or a direct route into the middle-income trap?