Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 12
Goldman Says Traders Correctly Price Fed Rate Hikes as US Inflation Tops 4%
Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 12

Goldman Says Traders Correctly Price Fed Rate Hikes as US Inflation Tops 4%

3 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jun 12

Summary

  • Goldman rates executive Muhammad Qubbaj said bond traders are fairly pricing a Federal Reserve path that includes rate hikes rather than cuts.
  • War-driven inflation, still above 4%, is combining with a resilient US economy and heavy corporate spending on artificial intelligence to support higher borrowing-cost bets.
  • That view reinforces market expectations that Fed chief Kevin Warsh could raise rates before year-end even as President Trump has pushed for lower rates.
  • The call underscores how investors see inflation pressure and strong demand outweighing political pressure on the Fed to ease policy.

Insights

Can the Fed's interest rate hikes tame inflation driven by a global energy crisis?
With global supply chains broken, will higher US interest rates trigger a worldwide recession?
As AI booms and war disrupts oil, what is the true cause of today's inflation?

Warsh Takes Helm as Fed Chair: Battling 4.2% Inflation, Energy Crisis, and Political Headwinds

Overview

Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the 11th Federal Reserve Chair on May 15, 2026, stepping into the role during a period of surging inflation and economic uncertainty. His appointment, marked by concerns over political independence and the need to divest significant investments, comes as the Federal Reserve faces the immediate challenge of taming persistent price increases. Warsh’s leadership will be tested by the need to balance restrictive monetary policy, address market volatility, and maintain the Fed’s credibility, all while navigating political pressures and the impact of global events on inflation and economic stability.

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