SpaceX Seen Topping $2 Trillion on Nasdaq Debut as Polymarket Prices 69% Odds

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jun 11

$135 a share would value SpaceX at about $1.77 trillion before trading starts Friday, and Polymarket traders now give it a 69% chance of closing above $2 trillion.
That threshold implies roughly a 13% first-day gain, while pre-IPO perpetual futures on Hyperliquid point to a possible jump of more than 20%.
Polymarket shows even stronger conviction at lower levels, with 84% odds SpaceX finishes above a $1.8 trillion market cap, but less than a 50-50 chance it tops $2.2 trillion.
A close above $2 trillion would place SpaceX among only five other U.S. companies at that valuation and ahead of Broadcom's roughly $1.85 trillion market cap.
Even at its expected $1.77 trillion debut value, Elon Musk's rocket company would already be larger than Tesla, which stood near $1.72 trillion late Thursday.

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CNBC3h ago

Polymarket Traders Predict 69% Chance SpaceX Exceeds $2 Trillion Market Cap on Nasdaq Debut

polymarket.com3h ago

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap Predictions & Odds 2026 | Polymarket

Facebook3h ago

📊 SpaceX is expected to list this Friday at a $1.75 trillion price, the largest IPO in history, with Elon Musk setting aside up to 30% of shares for retail investors. Truist

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SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO: Unprecedented Retail Access, AI Bets, and Market Risks Ahead of June 12, 2026 Debut

Overview

SpaceX is set to make its public debut on June 12, 2026, marking a major milestone for the company and financial markets. The IPO will offer 555.6 million shares at a firm price of $135 each, a decision made after extensive pre-roadshow meetings and without the usual price range to test demand. Notably, 30% of the shares are reserved for retail investors, making the offering widely accessible. Despite going public, Elon Musk will retain significant control, holding 82.4% of the voting rights. The IPO has seen overwhelming demand, with order books closing early amid a surge of investor interest.

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