Updated
Updated · isimarkets.com · Jun 5
China Housing Splits as Hangzhou, Chengdu Lead New-Build Strength and Resale Market Weakens
Updated
Updated · isimarkets.com · Jun 5

China Housing Splits as Hangzhou, Chengdu Lead New-Build Strength and Resale Market Weakens

3 articles · Updated · isimarkets.com · Jun 5

Summary

  • Granular city data show China’s housing market is diverging: resale homes remain weak, while new-build sales are holding up better in several key cities.
  • Household spending softness is weighing more heavily on the secondary market, while new-build performance offers a clearer read on developer conditions and the impact of policy support.
  • Hangzhou and Chengdu rank among the healthiest new-build markets, and Shanghai also stands out, likely reflecting tight supply of higher-quality projects.
  • Beijing and Guangzhou fall into “new-build discount” territory, where average resale transactions cost more than new homes because much new supply sits on outer districts while resale stock includes mature central areas.

Insights

With some Chinese cities booming while others bust, is the national property market fracturing into permanently separate realities?
Can China's property market stabilize confidence without reigniting the debt bubble that caused the initial crash?