Updated
Updated · continuumeconomics.com · Jun 2
Analysts See U.S. May Payroll Growth Slowing to 85,000 as ADP Private Hiring Tops 90,000
Updated
Updated · continuumeconomics.com · Jun 2

Analysts See U.S. May Payroll Growth Slowing to 85,000 as ADP Private Hiring Tops 90,000

3 articles · Updated · continuumeconomics.com · Jun 2
  • 85,000 jobs are the forecast for May non-farm payrolls, down from 115,000 in April, while private payroll growth is seen easing to 90,000 from 123,000.
  • ADP could modestly outperform the official private-payroll count after lagging in April, with weekly ADP readings and low initial claims still pointing to a firm labor market.
  • 17,000 Spirit Airlines redundancies may weigh on the government payrolls figure but may not be fully captured in ADP data, creating a gap between the two reports.
  • Goods employment is expected to improve, but services are seen losing momentum, especially consumer-sensitive sectors exposed to higher energy prices.
As AI and high energy prices converge, which American jobs are most vulnerable to this perfect storm?
With resilient spending but slowing jobs, is the American consumer's financial strength a dangerous illusion?