SportsLine UFC model reveals projections for UFC 328 fight card
Updated
Updated · SportsLine · May 9
SportsLine UFC model reveals projections for UFC 328 fight card
8 articles · Updated · SportsLine · May 9
Ahead of Saturday's Newark event, the model ran 10,000 simulations per bout, listing Khamzat Chimaev a -500 favourite over Sean Strickland and Tatsuro Taira -155 against Joshua Van.
Its top pick backs Under 2.5 rounds in Jim Miller versus Jared Gordon at +157, citing a projected 42% probability, 53% finish rate and strong combined submission threat.
The main card starts at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+, with four prelims and four early prelims, while SportsLine says the model returned 18-plus units and 6.1% ROI across 2023-25 backtesting.
Beyond the main event, which undercard fighter has the best chance to steal the show and become UFC's next star?
Can Sean Strickland's proven durability and defense expose a flaw in the seemingly invincible Khamzat Chimaev?
In a historic flyweight title fight, will striking or grappling decide the battle between two champions born in the 2000s?