Elon Musk's odds of winning OpenAI lawsuit fall to 40%

12 articles · Updated · CNBC · May 6

Kalshi traders cut Musk's implied chances from 60% after the April 27 Oakland trial began to below 34% on May 2, before a partial rebound on Wednesday.
The shift followed Musk's three days of testimony, in which he accused Sam Altman and Greg Brockman of betraying OpenAI's charitable purpose, while OpenAI called the case baseless.
Musk says his roughly $38m donation was diverted to commercial use; the heavily traded contract has generated about $890,000 as the closely watched federal trial continues.

Did OpenAI betray its mission, or was an $852 billion valuation the only way to fund the future of AI?

How can OpenAI be worth $852 billion while projecting over $140 billion in future losses?

Is Elon Musk's lawsuit a fight for AI ethics or a calculated attack on his biggest competitor?