His 64% disapproval and 31% economic approval are new lows, as gas prices top $4 a gallon and most polls show 70% or more disapprove of his handling of living costs.
The decline has accelerated since the war began in late February, with 61% calling it a mistake, and follows earlier damage from tariffs, January 6 pardons and a deadly Minneapolis immigration crackdown.
At 35%, Trump is nearing George W. Bush-era depths and faces heightened risk of a Republican backlash in the 2026 midterms, where presidential unpopularity has often translated into heavy congressional losses.
With a major war disrupting global oil, what are the long-term consequences for America's economy and international standing?
After a year of radical government cuts, what is the true cost or savings to the American taxpayer?
How the Iran Conflict and Soaring Fuel Costs Tanked Trump’s Approval to 37%
Overview
In early 2026, the U.S. and Israel launched military operations against Iran, prompting Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz. This closure caused global oil prices to surge to $100-$120 per barrel, pushing U.S. gasoline prices from $2.75 to over $4.09 per gallon. The resulting inflation and economic strain led to President Trump's approval rating dropping to historic lows of 37-39%. Widespread voter dissatisfaction, especially among independents and non-MAGA Republicans, fueled Democratic enthusiasm and increased Republican retirements, shifting the electoral map toward competitiveness. Additionally, 40% of Americans believe the conflict has made the U.S. less safe, and the president’s low approval now limits his military decision-making.