Updated
Updated · VnExpress International · May 1
Thailand cuts 2026 tourist arrivals forecast to 33.5 million
Updated
Updated · VnExpress International · May 1

Thailand cuts 2026 tourist arrivals forecast to 33.5 million

10 articles · Updated · VnExpress International · May 1
  • The Finance Ministry said the new estimate is 2 million below the previous forecast, while exports are now expected to grow 6.2%, up from January's 1.0% outlook.
  • It also raised its 2026 inflation forecast to 3.0% from 0.3%, putting it at the top of the central bank's 1%-3% target range.
  • Thailand's economy grew 2.4% last year, lagging regional peers, underscoring pressure on Southeast Asia's second-largest economy as it relies on tourism and exports for growth.
With exports surging but GDP growth slowing and inflation rising, can Thailand avoid stagflation while supporting its economy in 2026?
How might prolonged Middle East conflict and energy shocks reshape Thailand’s economic future and its reliance on tourism and imports?
Could Thailand’s push for green manufacturing be the key to escaping slow growth and inflation risks by 2035?