At Churchill Downs, Todd Pletcher said the Arkansas Derby winner was 5-1 in early betting, with Irad Ortiz Jr booked to ride for owners Mike Repole, Robert and Lawana Law.
Pletcher called the rail a tough draw despite the 20-horse gate, noting his previous post-1 runners Known Agenda and Mo Donegal finished ninth and fifth after troubled trips.
The rail has produced only one Derby winner since 1964, while Pletcher's recent Derby hopes Forte and Grande were scratched by Kentucky veterinarians less than 36 hours before post time.
How much do post positions and recent industry shifts actually influence Derby outcomes compared to a horse's raw ability and racing style?
With regulatory changes and expert doubts swirling, is Renegade truly the best bet—or is another contender poised to steal the roses?