Traders raise regime change odds after US silence on Iranian school strike
Updated
Updated · Crypto Briefing · Apr 29
Traders raise regime change odds after US silence on Iranian school strike
3 articles · Updated · Crypto Briefing · Apr 29
Prediction markets show May 31 regime fall odds rising, with $145,850 in daily USDC volume and a 50-point spike on April 30 odds.
The lack of official US commentary is viewed as a strategic move, drawing institutional trading interest and volatility in regime change markets.
BBC Tier 1 coverage and speculation about IRGC defections or Mojtaba Khamenei appearances could further shift odds, as traders watch for signs of internal fractures in Iran's leadership.
Could defections within Iran's security forces signal imminent regime collapse?
Are prediction markets on war being manipulated by insider information?
How is Iran's economic collapse affecting its ability to sustain the war?
What is the strategic purpose of U.S. silence on the Iran school strike?
How will new U.S. regulations impact betting on geopolitical conflicts?
Why has Iran's new Supreme Leader not appeared publicly since his appointment?