Thomas Massie's Primary Odds Rise Amid Trump-Backed Challenge in Kentucky

10 articles · Updated · news.kalshi.com · Apr 28

Prediction markets now give Massie a 72% chance of winning the Republican nomination, up seven points since March, while Trump-backed Ed Gallrein stands at 29%.
Polling from Quantus Insights shows Massie leading Gallrein by 9.1%, despite increased spending and Trump's direct involvement in the race. Market odds suggest Massie's margin of victory may be narrower than in past primaries.
Massie faces criticism for breaking with Trump over the Epstein files, but maintains he supports Trump most of the time. The primary highlights tensions between Trump’s influence and traditional conservative principles within the GOP.

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