J.D. Vance's 2028 presidential odds and approval ratings fall after failed Iran talks
Updated
Updated · news.kalshi.com · Apr 27
J.D. Vance's 2028 presidential odds and approval ratings fall after failed Iran talks
12 articles · Updated · news.kalshi.com · Apr 27
Vance's odds for the Republican nomination dropped from 54% to 37%, now tied with Marco Rubio at 20% for the presidency, following unsuccessful nuclear negotiations with Iran.
Vance's net approval rating has plunged to -18, marking a 21-point decline since taking office, making him the least popular vice president at this stage. Rubio's odds have risen to 26%.
Talks with Iran, brokered by Pakistan, ended without agreement after a 21-hour session. Future negotiations will proceed without Vance, as the White House plans to send Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner instead.
How is the Iran conflict affecting America's readiness for other global threats?
With Iran's new leadership, is a lasting nuclear agreement even possible?
What would a mutually acceptable end to the Iran War look like for all parties?
How are prediction markets shaping the perception of foreign policy outcomes?
Can diplomacy succeed after a 'take-it-or-leave-it' offer fails?
Was the hardline negotiation tactic a strategic error or a calculated first move?