Updated
Updated · The Conversation · Jul 23
Putin Approval Falls to 66.9%, Lowest Since 2022 Invasion
Updated
Updated · The Conversation · Jul 23

Putin Approval Falls to 66.9%, Lowest Since 2022 Invasion

3 articles · Updated · The Conversation · Jul 23

Summary

  • VCIOM’s June 22-28 poll put Vladimir Putin’s job approval at 66.9%, down from 70.4% a week earlier, while his trust rating fell to 73.3% and disapproval rose to 21.3%.
  • The slide comes as Russia’s war in Ukraine grinds on after 4½ years, with the front largely static, British estimates of Russian military deaths nearing 500,000, and rumors of a new mobilization spreading.
  • Ukrainian drone strikes have also hit energy sites in Crimea and deep inside Russia, including near Moscow and St Petersburg, contributing to fuel shortages, internet outages and broader public frustration.
  • Even so, the report says Putin remains Russia’s most popular political figure and United Russia still leads voting intentions, making any near-term threat to his rule appear limited.
  • Recent detentions of pro-war critics and comparisons with the 2023 Prigozhin mutiny point instead to a bigger long-term risk from hardliners who may want a more aggressive war.

Insights

As elite detentions echo the prelude to the 2023 mutiny, who holds the power to challenge Putin's increasingly secretive regime today?
With key Russian refineries paralyzed until late 2026, could cascading fuel shortages trigger the internal revolt that military failures haven't?
If Kadyrov's failing health destabilizes Chechnya, will this peripheral crisis become the unexpected catalyst for the Kremlin's ultimate unraveling?