Democrats Lead House Polls by 11 Points as GOP Redistricting Could Add Up to 10 Seats
Updated
Updated · USA TODAY · Jul 26
Democrats Lead House Polls by 11 Points as GOP Redistricting Could Add Up to 10 Seats
3 articles · Updated · USA TODAY · Jul 26
Summary
An Emerson poll released July 23 put Democrats ahead 53%-42% on the generic House ballot with 100 days until the Nov. 3 midterms, though a Washington Post-Ipsos survey showed a narrower 48%-45% edge.
Republicans still hold structural advantages: they control the House 218-212 and Senate 53-47, and analysts say Democrats may need about a 3.1-point national House vote win just to barely flip the chamber.
Eight states adopted new congressional maps favoring Republicans, with estimates those redraws could yield five to 10 extra House seats; only Utah and California approved maps that could help Democrats.
The Senate map remains competitive, with closely watched races in Maine, North Carolina, Michigan, Alaska and Georgia as both parties pour resources into a handful of potential pickups.
Trump's primary endorsements have so far swept Republican contests, but the war in Iran and its economic strain are emerging as liabilities for GOP candidates despite the party's redistricting gains.