Updated
Updated · Forbes · Jul 21
S&P 500 Holds Up 0.6% as 20% Semiconductor Slide Drives Sector Rotation
Updated
Updated · Forbes · Jul 21

S&P 500 Holds Up 0.6% as 20% Semiconductor Slide Drives Sector Rotation

3 articles · Updated · Forbes · Jul 21

Summary

  • The S&P 500 rose 0.6% over the past month even as technology fell 5.4%, indicating a rotation rather than a broad market selloff.
  • Semiconductors are driving that split: the group has dropped about 20% after a strong first-half rally and carries nearly a 20% weight in the index.
  • Healthcare gained 7.4%, energy 6.4% and financials 4.5%, while value stocks beat the S&P 500 by 2.6% and small-caps by more than 3%.
  • Momentum has been hit hardest—MTUM lagged the S&P 500 by roughly 8.5% in a month—and 1-month volatility versus the index is at a 10-year high.
  • Low implied correlations near a 20-year low suggest stocks are moving independently, supporting the view that the bull market remains intact despite AI-stock turbulence.

Insights

The market's AI leaders have collapsed. How long can other sectors carry the bull market before this weakness spreads?
As investors rotate from AI to value, are they ignoring signs that this market stability is more fragile than it appears?
With the Iran conflict driving up oil prices, how long can the bull market withstand the growing threat of global stagflation?