Updated
Updated · Benzinga · Jul 20
Oracle Shares Fall 3.17% to $122.40 as AI Spending and Debt Downgrade Bite
Updated
Updated · Benzinga · Jul 20

Oracle Shares Fall 3.17% to $122.40 as AI Spending and Debt Downgrade Bite

3 articles · Updated · Benzinga · Jul 20

Summary

  • Oracle fell 3.17% to $122.40 on Monday, leaving the stock near its 52-week low of $121.50 even as the Nasdaq rose 1.15%.
  • S&P recently downgraded Oracle's debt, citing OpenAI as a credit risk, while investors focused on a negative $23.7 billion free cash flow position and plans to raise more than $40 billion through debt and equity.
  • Capital spending is driving the strain: quarterly capex reached $16.49 billion, full-year capex jumped 162% to $55.7 billion, and BNP Paribas sees fiscal 2027 spending climbing to $80 billion-$100 billion.
  • That pressure has outweighed operating momentum, with Oracle's remaining performance obligations rising by $85 billion in the fourth quarter to a record $638 billion and full-year revenue reaching $67 billion.
  • Technically, the stock remains in a deep downtrend—down 49.84% over 12 months, below key moving averages, and showing an RSI of 26.55, an oversold reading that signals weakness more than a confirmed rebound.

Insights

With half its future revenue tied to OpenAI, is Oracle's fate now out of its hands?
Down 50% with record orders, is Oracle the market's biggest miscalculation or a classic value trap?