Browder Predicts Putin, 73, Will Never Sign Peace Treaty as Ukraine War Hardens Into Standoff
Updated
Updated · The Independent · Jul 18
Browder Predicts Putin, 73, Will Never Sign Peace Treaty as Ukraine War Hardens Into Standoff
1 articles · Updated · The Independent · Jul 18
Summary
Sir Bill Browder said Vladimir Putin will never sign a peace treaty on Ukraine and is more likely to let the conflict sink into a Korea-style frozen front.
Putin would see any deal as a threat to his survival, Browder argued, saying the Russian leader's instinct is always to escalate rather than choose the rational exit.
That leaves a long unofficial war even if Ukraine gains the upper hand, with Browder and other analysts casting a permanent standoff as less dangerous than either a Ukrainian defeat or a chaotic collapse of Russia's nuclear-armed regime.
Browder sketched a 20-year outcome in which Ukraine becomes a booming, democratic military power inside a more defense-focused Europe while Russia grows more isolated, echoing a South Korea-North Korea split.