Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 17
Dollar Index Heads for 0.2% Weekly Drop as 10% July Fed Hike Odds Temper Support
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 17

Dollar Index Heads for 0.2% Weekly Drop as 10% July Fed Hike Odds Temper Support

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jul 17

Summary

  • The dollar index held at 100.75 on Friday and was set for a 0.2% weekly decline after softer June U.S. inflation pushed traders to scale back near-term Federal Reserve tightening bets.
  • July Fed hike odds fell to 10% from 25% a week earlier, while markets priced in 28 basis points of hikes by December even as economists expect rates to stay unchanged later this month.
  • Safe-haven demand still cushioned the greenback as U.S.-Iran fighting intensified, Strait of Hormuz traffic faced disruption and oil climbed toward one-month highs, helping the dollar recover part of this week's losses.
  • The euro was flat at $1.1437 and headed for a 0.2% weekly gain, while sterling slipped 0.23% to $1.3456 but remained on track for a third straight weekly rise.
  • The yen stayed near 162 per dollar after touching a 40-year low of 162.84 earlier this month, with Tokyo again warning it was ready to intervene.

Insights

With US missile stockpiles dwindling, what is the true economic breaking point of the escalating Iran conflict?
As the Strait of Hormuz chokes global oil supply, are we heading towards a 1970s-style energy crisis?
Iran is blocking nuclear inspectors despite a US deal. Can diplomacy avert a full-scale war?