Updated
Updated · Business Insider Africa · Jul 17
Absa Loses $1.35 Billion in Value as 2026 Return Target Falls to 15%
Updated
Updated · Business Insider Africa · Jul 17

Absa Loses $1.35 Billion in Value as 2026 Return Target Falls to 15%

3 articles · Updated · Business Insider Africa · Jul 17

Summary

  • $1.35 billion in market value has been wiped from Absa since January, with the stock down more than 11% as investors reassess CEO Kenny Fihla’s turnaround timetable.
  • A June 30 trading update triggered the sharpest sell-off, erasing more than $860 million in one session after Absa cut its 2026 return-on-equity goal to about 15% from 16%-17%.
  • The bank also guided to only low- to mid-single-digit revenue growth and mid- to high-single-digit first-half earnings growth, citing a stronger rand, lower rates, slower African growth and Middle East-related geopolitical risks.
  • Analysts say the slide reflects doubts about execution speed rather than a rejection of Fihla’s pan-African strategy, which Absa says remains intact alongside a roughly 55% dividend payout ratio.
  • The setback follows a late-2025 rally driven by Fihla’s arrival and stronger results, and underscores how regional lenders are being squeezed by volatile currencies, weaker demand and thinner margins across Africa.

Insights

Why is Absa's stock plummeting while the rest of South Africa's banking sector is rising?
With investors revolting over his $9 million pay, can CEO Fihla's vision save Absa from its current crisis?