Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Jul 16
Michael Burry Calls Stripe-Advent's $60.50 PayPal Bid Too Low as Shares Jump 17%
Updated
Updated · The Motley Fool · Jul 16

Michael Burry Calls Stripe-Advent's $60.50 PayPal Bid Too Low as Shares Jump 17%

3 articles · Updated · The Motley Fool · Jul 16

Summary

  • $60.50 a share is "simply too low," Michael Burry said of Stripe and Advent International's cash offer for PayPal, arguing he will not sell and sees it as only an opening bid.
  • Burry said a full-company takeover should carry a control premium well above his IV15 benchmark, putting a realistic buyout closer to about $100 a share and within his broader $75-$115 valuation range.
  • PayPal's own metrics also make the $53 billion offer look light: the bid is still about 24% below the stock's $79.50 52-week high and values the company at less than 8 times annualized adjusted free cash flow.
  • The case for a higher price is tempered by weak growth—first-quarter revenue rose 7%, transaction margin dollars 3%, and active accounts just 1% to 439 million—while full-year EPS guidance ranges from slightly down to slightly up.
  • PayPal shares closed at $55.52, about 8% below the offer after a 17% surge, signaling doubts the deal closes at current terms before the board meets as soon as July 20.

Insights

Is PayPal a $53 billion bargain or a fintech giant falling into an AI-driven value trap?
Is Stripe's takeover bid secretly a play to control the future of global payments with stablecoins?