Updated
Updated · GOLF.com · Jul 15
Matt Fitzpatrick Emerges as 2026 Open Pick After 37,000-Word Birkdale Analysis
Updated
Updated · GOLF.com · Jul 15

Matt Fitzpatrick Emerges as 2026 Open Pick After 37,000-Word Birkdale Analysis

3 articles · Updated · GOLF.com · Jul 15

Summary

  • Matt Fitzpatrick was the writer’s pick for the 2026 Open after reviewing 195 minutes of player interviews ahead of Thursday’s start at Royal Birkdale.
  • 37,000 words of press-conference clues pointed to the traits most likely to matter on a firm, fast, windy course: distance control, precise approach play, creativity around the greens and sharp caddie communication.
  • Fitzpatrick fit that profile best, with the PGA Tour’s top approach numbers this season, elite around-the-green play and his own view that he is playing better than when he won the 2022 U.S. Open.
  • 12-13 mph north winds are forecast all four days, and players said Birkdale’s setup will force constant choices off the tee, reward preparation and punish poor bunker avoidance over 72 holes.
  • Other contenders mentioned included Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau, Tommy Fleetwood and Jordan Spieth, but the analysis favored major pedigree plus links-specific readiness.

Insights

Can local hero Tommy Fleetwood overcome intense home pressure to finally claim his first major championship title?
With its major redesigns, will Royal Birkdale's new challenges neutralize the advantage of past Open champions?
Will data analytics or creative instinct be the key to conquering Birkdale's notoriously unpredictable conditions?