Updated
Updated · Seeking Alpha · Jul 11
Oracle Faces Sell Call as $70 Billion Spending Plan Outruns Growth
Updated
Updated · Seeking Alpha · Jul 11

Oracle Faces Sell Call as $70 Billion Spending Plan Outruns Growth

3 articles · Updated · Seeking Alpha · Jul 11

Summary

  • $70 billion in annual data-center spending has prompted a sell call on Oracle, with the analyst arguing investment is rising faster than revenue and pressuring the balance sheet.
  • CapEx jumped 162% to $55.7 billion in fiscal 2026, pushing free cash flow to negative $23.7 billion and cutting gross margin by 5 points.
  • More than half of Oracle's $638 billion backlog is tied to OpenAI, leaving the company exposed to customer concentration risk as OpenAI's IPO is delayed to 2027.
  • Despite strong cloud growth and broadly bullish Wall Street sentiment, the analyst estimates Oracle's intrinsic value at $113.97, roughly 20% below the current share price.

Insights

With its future tied to a struggling OpenAI, is Oracle's record-breaking growth built on a house of cards?
Oracle reports record revenues but faces a 'sell' rating. What is the hidden risk behind its AI gamble?