Updated
Updated · TradingView · Jul 10
USDCAD Slips After Canada Adds 18,200 Jobs as Unemployment Falls to 6.5%
Updated
Updated · TradingView · Jul 10

USDCAD Slips After Canada Adds 18,200 Jobs as Unemployment Falls to 6.5%

1 articles · Updated · TradingView · Jul 10

Summary

  • Canada added 18,200 jobs in June against forecasts for 10,000, pushing USDCAD lower as the loonie strengthened modestly after the release.
  • The report also showed unemployment unexpectedly easing to 6.5% from 6.6%, hourly wage growth accelerating to 3.7% from 3.2%, and private-sector hiring rising by 32,000.
  • Manufacturing remained the weak spot, shedding 17,000 jobs and leaving the sector down 61,000 from its January 2025 peak amid tariff-related uncertainty.
  • USDCAD still held above a key 1.41297-1.41488 support zone, with buyers reappearing near 1.41420; a break below 1.41297 would deepen the bearish case.
  • The stronger labor data reinforces expectations of a resilient economy and keeps markets pricing roughly a 50% chance of a Bank of Canada rate hike by December.

Insights

Canada's job numbers are soaring, but experts predict a slowdown. Who should investors believe: the data or the forecasters?
As trade talks with the US stall, is the Canadian dollar's fate now tied more to political deals than economic data?
With a strong job market but weak productivity, can Canada's central bank fix an economy stuck in a 'comfort trap'?