990 million bushels is USDA NASS’s new U.S. winter wheat forecast for July, down 4% from June and 29% from 2025.
46.7 bushels per acre is the projected national yield, down 0.1 from last month and 8.2 from a year earlier, which would make it the lowest since 2015.
Drought, abandoned fields and fewer harvested acres drove the downgrade, especially in the southern Plains where some wheat was grazed out instead of taken to grain.
Kansas, the top wheat-producing state, was pegged at 196.4 million bushels, down 44% from 2025; Oklahoma fell to 58.8 million and Texas to 44.8 million, both roughly halved from a year ago.