Updated
Updated · cruxinvestor.com · Jul 9
Nickel Slips Despite 40,000-Ton NPI Drawdown as EV Battery Demand Jumps 37%
Updated
Updated · cruxinvestor.com · Jul 9

Nickel Slips Despite 40,000-Ton NPI Drawdown as EV Battery Demand Jumps 37%

1 articles · Updated · cruxinvestor.com · Jul 9

Summary

  • Nickel prices eased on a stronger US dollar and reports that Indonesia could expand mining quotas, even as supply-chain signals pointed to a tighter market.
  • A roughly 40,000-ton Nickel pig iron inventory drawdown into battery-grade matte narrowed NPI's discount to LME nickel to $150 a ton from about $250, indicating tighter availability beneath weaker headline prices.
  • Seasonal ore flows from the Philippines have added pressure in June and July, with Canada Nickel CEO Mark Selby saying Chinese buyers and short-sellers are using the peak supply window to push for more Indonesian ore quotas.
  • Battery-linked nickel demand rose 37% year to date through May while EV unit sales grew about 2%, a gap Selby tied to a 12% increase in average battery pack size as buyers shift toward larger vehicles.
  • Canada Nickel also signed an MOU with Germany's RWE to develop supply and trading arrangements for low-carbon nickel-chrome-magnetite products aimed at Europe's steel market.

Insights

As Indonesia's nickel output falters, can cleaner North American projects prevent a critical EV battery metal shortage?
With a battery-grade nickel deficit and rising costs, is the market underestimating a looming price super-cycle?