Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 8
Software Stocks Rebound Against Semiconductors as IGV-SMH Ratio Lifts From 0.13 Low
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jul 8

Software Stocks Rebound Against Semiconductors as IGV-SMH Ratio Lifts From 0.13 Low

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jul 8

Summary

  • The long-semiconductors, short-software trade is starting to unwind after software’s IGV/SMH ratio bottomed near 0.13 last month and broke above trendline resistance.
  • Charts cited in the report show software also gaining relative strength versus the tech-heavy XLK and the broader S&P 500, suggesting the move may be more than brief profit-taking ahead of second-quarter earnings.
  • Jefferies argued most AI-driven fears around software are already priced in, saying durable “systems of record” should benefit because AI agents still need to connect to incumbent enterprise platforms.
  • Two favored ways to play the shift are ServiceNow and Snowflake: ServiceNow closed at $110.73 versus a $141.12 average target, while Snowflake is testing a breakout near $300 after 34% product-revenue growth and a 22% EPS beat last quarter.

Insights

Is the software stock rally a true reversal or a bull trap set by AI?
In the AI software war, will data platforms or workflow incumbents ultimately triumph?