Bitcoin's $64,000 Rebound Faces 2.85% Japan Yield Shock as 10-Year JGBs Hit 30-Year High
Updated
Updated · CoinDesk · Jul 7
Bitcoin's $64,000 Rebound Faces 2.85% Japan Yield Shock as 10-Year JGBs Hit 30-Year High
3 articles · Updated · CoinDesk · Jul 7
Summary
$64,000 bitcoin is running into a new macro headwind as Japan’s 10-year government bond yield jumps to 2.85%, its highest in 30 years.
Higher yields raise the opportunity cost of holding a non-income asset, with the U.S. 10-year nearing 4.5%, Germany’s bund approaching 3% and the U.K. gilt around 4.8%.
That pressure threatens to blunt bitcoin’s 8% rally this month, which was fueled by softer U.S. inflation concerns and a weak June payrolls report after BTC held support near $58,000 on July 1.
Japan matters disproportionately because years of near-zero rates and quantitative easing helped suppress global borrowing costs and fund yen carry trades that supported risk assets.
Goldman Sachs still expects the yen to weaken and continues to favor yen-funded carry trades, suggesting markets remain split on whether rising Japanese yields will fully derail the rebound.