Updated
Updated · Financial Reporter · Jul 7
Bank of England Sees 5 Million Households Hit by Higher Mortgages by 2028 as Rates Stay Near 5%
Updated
Updated · Financial Reporter · Jul 7

Bank of England Sees 5 Million Households Hit by Higher Mortgages by 2028 as Rates Stay Near 5%

3 articles · Updated · Financial Reporter · Jul 7

Summary

  • More than 5 million households are now projected to face higher mortgage repayments by end-2028, up from nearly 4 million in the Bank of England's December forecast.
  • Quoted mortgage rates have risen since December after market rates climbed following the West Asia conflict: average two-year fixes reached 4.92% at 75% LTV and 5.32% at 90% LTV.
  • £45 a month is the projected median increase for a typical borrower refinancing in the next two years, far below the roughly £120 monthly rise seen between end-2022 and end-2024.
  • Nearly 750,000 households still face sharper pain in 2026: borrowers rolling off fixes below 3% are expected to see repayments jump by an average £170 a month.
  • Most two-year fixed borrowers refinancing by end-2028 are now expected to remortgage near their current rate, meaning little relief ahead rather than the falls forecast before the Iran war.

Insights

Are the Bank of England's flawed forecasts making the mortgage crisis for five million homeowners even worse?
Beyond mortgages, what hidden costs from the Iran conflict will hit UK families next?
Is the UK's economy splitting in two, leaving renters and the poor permanently behind?