Brazil Face Norway as Mexico Host England in 2 World Cup Last-16 Ties
Updated
Updated · Al Jazeera English · Jul 5
Brazil Face Norway as Mexico Host England in 2 World Cup Last-16 Ties
3 articles · Updated · Al Jazeera English · Jul 5
Summary
Sunday’s round of 16 features Brazil vs Norway at 20:00 GMT in New Jersey and Mexico vs England at 00:00 GMT in Mexico City.
25,000 Opta simulations make Brazil clear favorites—53.6% to win in 90 minutes versus Norway’s 22.4%—despite Brazil still chasing a first victory in four meetings with the Scandinavians.
England-Mexico projects as one of the tightest ties: England win in regulation in 40.6% of simulations, Mexico in 31.5%, with 27.9% going beyond 90 minutes.
Mexico’s home edge is central to that balance, with El Tri unbeaten in 10 World Cup matches at Mexico City Stadium—8 wins and 2 draws—and seeking a first quarterfinal since 1986.
Saturday’s results set the wider bracket, with Morocco beating Canada 3-0 to reach a second straight quarterfinal and France edging Paraguay 1-0 on Kylian Mbappe’s VAR-awarded penalty.