Updated
Updated · Tom's Hardware · Jul 4
Memory Prices Rise 13%-18% in Q3 as AI Demand Keeps Supply Tight
Updated
Updated · Tom's Hardware · Jul 4

Memory Prices Rise 13%-18% in Q3 as AI Demand Keeps Supply Tight

2 articles · Updated · Tom's Hardware · Jul 4

Summary

  • TrendForce expects conventional DRAM contract prices to climb 13%-18% and NAND Flash 10%-15% in Q3 2026, a sharp slowdown from roughly 60% jumps in Q2.
  • Consumer affordability is driving the cooldown: PC and smartphone makers are resisting further cost increases after months of hikes, even though supply has not materially improved.
  • AI demand is still keeping the market tight, with hyperscale data centers and inference systems absorbing supply while manufacturers shift capacity toward higher-margin server memory.
  • That split is widening across end markets: server DRAM should stay undersupplied into Q3, while notebook, smartphone and client SSD buyers turn more cautious as higher memory costs threaten shipments and retail pricing.
  • Meaningful relief still looks distant because enterprise AI spending is expected to support server-memory demand through 2027, even as consumer segments weaken.

Insights

Is the global memory industry's all-in bet on AI creating a fragile 'too big to fail' bubble?
As AI consumes the world's memory chips, will personal computers become a luxury item?
Is HBM, the key to AI's power, actually a costly technological dead end?