Opta Analyst Publishes Australia-Egypt Round-of-32 Live Stats for 3 July Match

Q: With both nations chasing a first knockout win, whose World Cup dream will be shattered in Dallas?

Australia’s World Cup dream was shattered in Dallas. After a 1-1 draw through extra time, Egypt won the Round of 32 tie on penalties, securing their first-ever World Cup knockout victory and advancing to the last 16. Egypt converted all four of their spot-kicks, while Australia scored only two. The match had been finely balanced, which matched the pre-game expectation. Opta’s simulations had made Egypt only a narrow favorite, giving them a 55.8% chance of progressing compared with Australia’s 44.2%, making it one of the closest ties in the round. Egypt had taken an early lead through Emam Ashour’s header, but Australia forced their way back through an own goal and stayed alive thanks in part to a key save from goalkeeper Patrick Beach. Even so, Egypt held their nerve in the shootout. The result is historic for Egypt. It was only their second World Cup knockout appearance, and their first win at this stage after their 1934 defeat to Hungary. It also extends the momentum they built in the group stage, where they recorded their first World Cup finals win and went unbeaten in three matches. For Australia, the defeat means a third World Cup knockout exit, after previous eliminations by Italy in 2006 and Argentina in 2022.

3 articles · Updated · The Analyst · Jul 3

Dallas Stadium’s 3 July round-of-32 meeting between Australia and Egypt now has a live Opta match centre with team and player data, expected goals, passing networks and chalkboards.
The stats page is designed for real-time and post-match analysis, with official Opta numbers listed below the live centre.
Australia enter their third World Cup knockout match, having lost their first two—1-0 to eventual champions Italy in 2006 and 2-1 to eventual winners Argentina in 2022.
Egypt are playing only their second World Cup knockout game after a 4-2 loss to Hungary in 1934, following a group stage that brought their first finals win—3-1 over New Zealand—and a 3-game unbeaten run.