Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jun 26
Trump Team Eases Rate-Cut Pressure on Warsh as Inflation Hits 4.1%
Updated
Updated · CNBC · Jun 26

Trump Team Eases Rate-Cut Pressure on Warsh as Inflation Hits 4.1%

3 articles · Updated · CNBC · Jun 26

Summary

  • 4.1% inflation in May has prompted Trump administration officials to stop pressing Kevin Warsh for immediate rate cuts, giving the new Fed chair more room to hold policy steady.
  • Energy costs tied to the Iran conflict drove much of the rise, while core inflation reached 3.4%, far above the Fed's 2% target and reinforcing Warsh's pledge to deliver price stability.
  • Last week's Fed meeting kept rates unchanged and dropped its easing bias; nearly half of policymakers now expect hikes this year, and markets price a 79% chance of an increase by December.
  • Peter Navarro, Scott Bessent and Kevin Hassett have all recently backed a pause or urged flexibility, even as Trump again said Wednesday that he wants lower rates.
  • Gasoline has fallen to $3.90 a gallon, down 58 cents in a month after the Strait of Hormuz reopening deal, but fresh attacks near the chokepoint leave the late-July Fed outlook uncertain.

Insights

Will falling energy prices be enough to alter the Federal Reserve’s signaled course of interest rate hikes this year?
Can supply-side policies cool prices while the Fed raises interest rates to fight inflation?