Updated
Updated · Bloomberg · Jul 2US Stocks Rise as Cooler Jobs Data Cuts July Fed Hike Odds to 20%
3 articles · Updated · Bloomberg · Jul 2Summary
- S&P 500 futures rose 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.5% before Thursday’s open as weaker-than-expected US employment data lifted risk appetite.
- That report pushed traders to scale back bets on a near-term Federal Reserve move, with pricing for a July rate hike falling to 20% from 33%.
- Shorter-dated Treasuries rallied alongside stocks, sending the two-year yield down 7 basis points to 4.11% as rate expectations eased.
- The move extended into other markets, with the dollar retreating and investors treating softer labor data as a sign the Fed may stay on hold longer.
Insights
With weak jobs data conflicting with Fed projections, is the U.S. economy heading for a policy-induced shock this year? Is the dollar's current dip the beginning of its long-term decline or just another temporary blip in its global dominance? As dedollarization accelerates, how will U.S. trade policies influence the dollar's future as the world's primary reserve currency?